Why it matters: Sentiment is turning up — a window where customers commit and expansion plans get approved.
Why it matters: Input-cost rises should slow next quarter — but fixed supplier contracts may delay the relief you feel.
Why it matters: If you import stock or inputs, budget for slightly higher landed costs into next month's pricing.
Why it matters: Above 50 means private-sector activity is growing — demand conditions are broadly supportive right now.
FX on labelled sample (add EXCHANGERATE_API_KEY to go live). Bitcoin live via CoinGecko; gold/Brent/cocoa on sample until a commodities provider key is set. Confidence & sentiment from the GrowthIntel SME Confidence Pulse (pilot, Q4 2026); inflation & PMI from NBS / CBN / Stanbic IBTC (latest published). Commodities shown for their direct bearing on African operators — diesel & freight (Brent), cocoa exports (Ghana / Ivory Coast / Nigeria), reserves & mining (Gold), and digital-asset markets (Bitcoin). Indices: NGX, JSE, EGX, NSE, GSE plus the S&P 500 as a global anchor — some African indices are end-of-day ("close") until a live provider (e.g. Mansa Markets) key is set.
The intelligence platform African business leaders consult before they decide.
Today · 3 developments that matter
Headline inflation fell 60bps, yet the MPC has signalled it wants sustained easing before moving on the 26.25% policy rate.
→ Borrowing stays expensive this quarter. Hold off on rate-sensitive expansion.
A possible interim deal to reopen the strait pulled crude down — the first sign of relief on freight and diesel in weeks.
→ Watch pump prices. A sustained fall would ease your logistics line by month-end.
COCOBOD cites weather, disease and illegal mining — cocoa held near $5,900/tonne, a three-week high.
→ Confectionery & agro-processors: lock supply now; prices likely to firm.
The Decision Centre
The Flagship — Every Monday
EDITION №01 · MONDAY, 3 AUGUST 2026
Headline inflation fell for the fourth straight month, but input costs for restaurants, retailers and manufacturers are still climbing. This week: the lag, which categories reprice first, and the two questions to put to your top suppliers before Friday.
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